2025 Decision Desk. The decision desk hq 2025 forecasting model provides the probability of each candidate winning each state in the presidential election, the mean expected electoral vote total for each. Decision desk hq forecasting models provides the win probabilities of each candidate winning each state in the presidential election, the mean expected electoral vote total for each.

All of a sudden, the first 2025 presidential debate is nearly upon us. Decision desk hq and the hill are tracking polls leading up to all presidential, senate, and house primaries and the general election on november 5th, 2025.